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MOBILE, Ala. (WKRG) – Today begins mostly quiet and mild. As we heat things up our rain chances will go up as well. Today it’s a 30% chance for daytime pop up thunderstorms. The chance of rain is a little higher east of I-65 and a little lower west of I-65. Highs today will reach the lower 90s and the heat index will hover around 100. By tonight most of the rain fades, but it will be muggy with lows in the low to mid-70s.
Rain chances will continue to rise heading into the weekend and we’ll settle into an unsettled pattern. Friday it’s a 50% chance for wet weather, then it’s up to 60% this weekend. With the higher rain chances, it won’t be 100% rain coverage 100% of the time. There will be rounds of showers and storms and in between, there will be sunshine. Expect similar conditions to continue through the middle half of next week.
TROPICS: Today is the climatological peak of the hurricane season so it is no surprise the tropics are very active. There are two named storms and five disturbances.
Paulette, the sixteenth named storm of the 2020, hurricane season, continues to inch west-northwestward through the Central Atlantic. The storm will continue this motion over the next few days. As it approaches Bermuda later this weekend it could become a hurricane. Past Monday most models turn it more towards the north, keeping it well east of the United States.
Tropical Storm Rene is the seventeenth named storm of the 2020 Atlantic Season. This is the earliest “R”-Storm on record. Rene now has a window to strengthen and may reach hurricane strength in the next couple of days. As it continues northwest though it will encounter more shear and cooler water. From there will begin fading. It’s not a threat to any land.
We are also tracking several other disturbances. One is located west-southwest of Bermuda and has a low chance for development. This will be a rainmaker for the Carolina’s.
There are two disturbances concentrated in the Gulf. Both at this point have a low chance of developing into anything tropical. One is near the Bahamas. This will drift into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. This looks like it’s going to aide in high rain chances sticking around for the Gulf Coast through the middle half of next week. The second is in the east-central Gulf. This will continue moving west as well and like the other one, this will aide in continuing high rain chances. Neither disturbance pose an imminent threat here, but we’ll keep a close eye on these and you should too.
The next is still on the African continent and is forecast to move into the Atlantic sometime on Thursday. After it does so, it has a high chance of development within 5 days. Still too early to know where this system will go, but there is plenty of time to watch. The last area we are watching will come off of Africa this weekend and has a medium chance of forming in the East Atlantic.