MOBILE, Ala. (WKRG) – Happy Thursday or Friday Eve. Today’s headlines include tracking Cristobal, scattered storms, and high humidity.
Cristobal has weakened to a Depression as it continues to move over southeast Mexico. This was expected and doesn’t do much to change much to the forecast from earlier. Even though it is weaker, heavy rain is still a big threat to southeast Mexico.
By tomorrow, the system will begin to move north into the South Central Gulf of Mexico. Gradual strengthening is expected as it moves north Friday and Saturday. The storm will approach the northern Gulf Coast by Sunday evening.
A direct landfall looks most likely somewhere along the Louisiana Coast sometime Sunday into very early Monday, but a landfall can’t be ruled out from the east Texas Coast to the Mississippi Gulf Coast. Right now, the forecast calls for Cristobal to move ashore as a strong tropical storm.
The weather pattern for the weekend will focus around the eventual path of Tropical Storm Cristóbal. The storm will begin to move north through the central Gulf of Mexico Saturday bringing increase waves and swells and a high risk of rip currents. Rain will likely move in overnight Saturday. Tropical Storm force wind gusts will be possible Sunday depending on the exact track of the storm. The heaviest rain will likely fall Sunday. Although exact amounts are uncertain, a widespread 2-6″ of rain is possible. Rainfall totals could exceed or be lower in spots depending on where rain bands set up. Higher-than-normal tides and some coastal flooding will be possible. Unsettled weather will remain possible into Monday. Rain chances will begin to decrease moving into mid-week as temperatures go on a warming trend.