MOBILE, Ala. (WKRG) – We continue to two different tropical disturbances. The one in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of developing and at this moment, is not a threat to land.
The one we are watching closely is Invest 95L. Invest simply means that the National Hurricane Center is investigating this broad area of low pressure. It is located over the southern Bahamas and has a high chance of developing into either a tropical depression or tropical storm. The next name on the list in Humberto.
There are still a lot of questions to be answered with this system. Most forecast models do develop this into a tropical system, but this is where agreements on models begin to go away. Yesterday it looked likely that this would be getting into the Gulf, but most models so far today are showing it going to the Florida Peninsula and staying out of the Gulf.
While it’s less likely it gets into the Gulf, it can’t be ruled out. If it were to do so, this will likely bring us rain by the latter half of the weekend. Due to high wind shear, significant strengthening in the Gulf is unlikely. We need to continue monitoring closely, but at the moment, it doesn’t pose a direct threat.
All areas along the east coast need to be watching this closely due to recent trends east in the models discussed before. If 95L does take this route, then our rain chances may need to be lowered this weekend into the new week due to being on the drier side of the circulation.