McCain Looking Super For Tuesday Vote

Alabama Weather News 5-Survey USA poll finds if election were held today McCain would beat Huckabee in Alabama

by News 5-Survey USA

Published: Fri, February 01, 2008 - 8:52 am CST Last Updated: Fri, February 01, 2008 - 1:57 pm CST

Geography Surveyed: Alabama
Data Collected: 01/31/2008
Release Date: 02/01/2008 07:15 ET
Sponsor: WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola

Moderates Push McCain Atop Huckabee in Alabama GOP Primary: In a Republican Primary in Alabama today, 02/01/08, 4 days before Super Tuesday, John McCain defeats Mike Huckabee, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WKRG-TV Mobile. Among Conservatives, Huckabee and McCain tie. Among those who attend church regularly, Huckabee and McCain tie. But when all likely Republican Primary voters are examined, McCain finishes at 40%, Huckabee at 31%, Mitt Romney at 21%. McCain's 23-point lead among Moderates provides his margin of victory.

Filtering / Timing: 2,000 state of Alabama adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. Of them, 1,783 were registered to vote. Of them, 629 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be certain to vote at the precinct on Primary Day. All interviews conducted after results of Florida Primary were known. Half of interviews conducted prior to Republican debate on 01/30/08, half conducted after. John McCain received a number of prominent endorsements during the field period for this survey. The full effect of those endorsements, if there is any, may not yet be reflected in this data. Early voting: Mobile County and Baldwin County voters had the option, but not the obligation, to vote early, to avoid a conflict on 02/05/08 with Mardi Gras. 10% of those who participated in this survey had already voted.