By
News 5/Survey USA
.
Published: Mon, August 04, 2008 - 8:43 am
Last Updated: Mon, August 04, 2008 - 9:32 am
Geography Surveyed: Florida
Data Collected: 08/01/2008 - 08/03/2008
Release Date: 08/04/2008 10:25 ET
Sponsors: WFLA-TV Tampa, WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola
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Florida, Three Months Out -- Sun Shines on McCain: In an election in critical swing-state Florida for President of the United States today, 08/04/2008, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama, 50% to 44%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll pre-election poll conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa and WKRG-TV Pensacola. Obama leads by 9 points in Southeastern Florida, where he takes 52% of the vote; McCain takes 52% of the vote in Central Florida, 53% in Southwestern Florida, 55% in the northeastern Florida, and 59% in Northwestern Florida. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, who turns 47 years old today, Obama leads by 5 points. Among voters older than John McCain, who turns 72 at the end of the month, McCain leads by 13. Among voters in-between their ages, McCain leads by 14. Among white voters, McCain leads by 19 points. Among black voters, Obama leads by 68. Hispanics favor Obama by 60 points. McCain leads among both men and women, among both college grads and non-college grads, among both those who earn less than $50,000 a year and among those who earn more than $50,000 a year.
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Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Florida adults 08/01/08 through 08/03/08. Of them, 830 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 679 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Florida has 27 Electoral College votes. George Bush carried Florida by 5 points in 2004 and by one one hundredth of a point in 2000.
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1
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Asked of 679 likely voters |
| Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 3.8% |
| If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama? |
| 50% | McCain (R) |
| 44% | Obama (D) |
| 3% | Other |
| 3% | Undecided |
| Complete Interactive Crosstabs | |
| Statement of Methodology | |
| © 2008 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations |
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