Where Will Fay Go?

Font Size By Associated Press/NWS/National Hurricane Center
.

M60o93H7pQ09L8X1t49cHY01Z5j4TT91fGfr Where Will Fay Go?
Published: Wed, August 20, 2008 - 1:52 pm
Last Updated: Wed, August 20, 2008 - 4:09 pm
JACKSONVILLE, Fla. (AP) - Hundreds of central Florida homes
flooded as Tropical Storm Fay drenched the state for a third
consecutive day, and forecasters warned the waters could worsen
because the storm had stubbornly stalled.
The storm could dump 30 inches of rain in some areas of Florida
on Wednesday and the National Hurricane Center said up to 22 inches
had already fallen near Melbourne, just south of Cape Canaveral on
the state's central Atlantic coast.
St. Lucie County spokesman Erick Gill says some people have
reported 3 to 5 feet of water in their homes and that hundreds of
homes have been flooded. Floodwaters also had caused sewage to back
up, affecting another 40,000 to 50,000 people in three towns.

(Copyright 2008 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)


Track Fay with the News 5 Storm Team



Latest National Hurricane Center Advisory



000
WTNT31 KNHC 202031
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
500 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...WET FAY SOAKING PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...MORE RAIN TO
COME...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...-THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST ABOUT 30
MILES...45 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND
WEST-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE FAY
MOVES OVER LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...28.8 N...80.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Carl - I do remember you sharing that story a while back when several of us were remembering those days.  The motel we were in was just across 90 and next door to a popular club at that time.  Nothing but a gray slab was left of that thing.  Not even any rubble.  Just an island of concrete amidst the sand.
.
I have a picture of me standing in front of the Bay Town Inn that was taken in March of 2005.  Had lunch at The Dock of the Bay across the street from the place and poured down a few cold beers at the Firedog Saloon later that afternoon.  Hard to believe that only a few months later the whole place would be turned upside down.  The shell of the Firedog survived, but it was gutted.  Need to take a drive over that way soon and see how much progress they have made.
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The Firedog’s website has some pretty dramatic pictures taken right after Katrina, including some brave firemen taking away bodies tangled up in the debris.
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http://www.firedogsaloon.com/

Posted by BamaBob on 08/20/08 - 1:23 pm • Report Abuse   

A very good site BamaBob ! those before pictures look very familar to some I remember. As I said before , Me the wife and kids were down there at the beach in a motel two days before it hit and decided we better head home and tie things down. The motel was just a block out line in the sand and the pool was even to the sides with sand after camille. Hope they never have another one that strong and as big as Katrina. Now that would be a perfect storm of destruction.

Posted by carl on 08/20/08 - 1:09 pm • Report Abuse   

Will never forget Camille!  Had a hard time ever getting out of Biloxi that day, but it sure wasn’t because of a desire to surf!  I can also remember all the stories about hurricane parties in the following days. People can do the craziest things.....
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I always loved Old Town Bay St Louis and spent a few weekends over that way at a nice turn of the century Bed & Breakfast situated on Beach Blvd overlooking the bay.  Recently I found an interesting blog describing the final moments of the B&B;’s 100 year history.  It is not about a hurricane party, but rather the complacency some had after surviving Camille (The Storm of the Century) unscathed.  Very interesting read especially in the chapter called Room Number Five.
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http://katrinapatina.blogspot.com/2006/01/story-of-bay-town-inn.html

Posted by BamaBob on 08/20/08 - 12:41 pm • Report Abuse   

Nothing like the mother of all hurricanes is it BamaBob ? Camille, the strongest I believe ever recorded. Do you think you might have kite surfed if you had stayed during Camille? probably would have ended up in Canada if you did. grin

Posted by carl on 08/20/08 - 12:30 pm • Report Abuse   

Don’t think any of us will be getting a day off from this one.  Probably just screw up another weekend......
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Most of them do kind of hook a right once on land, but there have been a few that have done some crazy stuff.  I think it was Elena back in 85 that was projected to come to Mobile, so we packed up and left.  It then took a hard right and started toward Florida.  We load the car to come back and here on the radio that it had taken a hard left and might be on its way to Mobile again.  We decided to wait another day before coming back to Mobile.
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I think it finally came in somewhere around the MS/LA line.
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I think I remember another one cross Florida into the Atlantic and then coming back across Florida into the gulf, but don’t recall the name.

Posted by BamaBob on 08/20/08 - 12:07 pm • Report Abuse   

My question has anyone else thought it strange that they have this storm hooking a left once it hit the mainland???  I have always thought storms hooked a right once they were no longer over the water, something about the counter clockwise rotation and being over land???  I have just found this projected path to be weird.  Just wondering if I was the only one???

Posted by mustuknow on 08/20/08 - 5:08 am • Report Abuse   

Correction: “That’s” not “that”

Posted by barefootangel on 08/20/08 - 3:11 am • Report Abuse   

That a low system with a circle around it.

Posted by barefootangel on 08/20/08 - 2:51 am • Report Abuse   

What does the clock like symbol mean? The one that starts at the Florida-Georgia line and moves across Alabama? When do we expect a GOOD idea as to what this thing is going to do?

Posted by rmseek1234 on 08/19/08 - 8:28 pm • Report Abuse   

it reminds me of elena. the one who bounced back and forth around 1985

Posted by rosepetal on 08/19/08 - 6:58 pm • Report Abuse   


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