State-Assisted Evacuees Can Be Tracked
By
The Associated Press
Published: Tue, June 03, 2008 - 9:58 am
Last Updated: Monday, July 21, 2008 - 6:25 pm
Last Updated: Monday, July 21, 2008 - 6:25 pm
calling for eight hurricanes in the Atlantic this year, four of
them major.
Tuesday's forecast calls for a very active season, with 15 named
storms. William Gray, a former Colorado State University
climatologist, pioneered the seasonal predictions in 1984.
The 15 named storms include tropical storm Arthur, which formed
on May 31.
The revised outlook from the Colorado State University
researchers is the same as their April forecast.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration last month
forecast 12 to 16 named storms, including six to nine hurricanes.
"Conditions in the tropical Atlantic look quite favorable for
an active hurricane season," said Phil Klotzbach, lead author of
the CSU forecast.
Last June, the CSU team predicted 17 named storms, including
nine hurricanes, five of them major. The year produced 14 named
storms, including six hurricanes, two of them major.
The CSU forecasters used a new statistical model this year,
which they say has shown considerable improvement over the previous
model.
The team said there is a 69 percent chance that at least one
major hurricane will make landfall somewhere on the U.S. coastline,
compared to the long-term average probability of 52 percent.
The team said there is a 45 percent chance that a major
hurricane will make landfall on the East Coast, including the
Florida Peninsula. The long-term average is 31 percent.
(Copyright 2008 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)
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